UBS ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETN (USOI)

October's top monthly dividend stocks offer high yields, with many providing annual dividends from $1,000 invested exceeding share prices, but carry volatility risks. Banco Macro, ARMOUR Residential, and Horizon Technology Finance lead projected gains, with average net gain estimates of 39.98% on $1,000 invested. Analyst estimates suggest the five lowest-priced MoPay stocks may outperform the top ten overall, highlighting contrarian opportunities for income-focused investors.

Current crude oil sentiment is extremely bearish, yet physical demand remains robust and inventories are low. Energy sector policy challenges and declining rig counts may limit U.S. production growth, further supporting bullish oil positioning. USOI's mechanical covered call strategy while not for us, is likely to work over the next 6-9 months in generating solid returns.

Caring about dividends can increase our returns, but caring about NAV can save our portfolio. Return and NAV protection must go hand in hand, because there can be no sustainable return without protecting the value of the underlying assets. As far as I am concerned, the way to protect my portfolio is to favor only securities with a positive NAV over time.

June U.S. exchange-traded monthly paid (MoPay) dividends, upsides, and net-gains include: 1. Stocks-by-yield (80); 2. Stocks-by-price-upside (30); 3. Closed-End-Investments, Exchange-Traded-Funds & Notes (CEICs/ETFs/ETNs) by yield >10% (80); 4. ‘Safer' Ideal-Dividend-Equities by Cash-Flow-Margins. Analyst estimates suggest top MoPay stocks could net 16.48% to 33.67% gains by June 2026, with an average net gain of 23.57% and higher-than-market risk. The dogcatcher rule highlights 31 'safer' MoPay stocks where dividends from $1K invested exceed share price, positive returns, and strong free cash flow coverage.

Total Return can be misleading if not supported by NAV growth, as it may include unsustainable distributions and Return of Capital. Behavioral finance shows markets are irrational, making it crucial to consider practical aspects beyond theoretical Total Return calculations. I believe that NAV performance can affect our discretion in the reinvestment choices for the distributions we receive from our savings much more than Total Return.

Investing $1,000 in top-yielding MoPay stocks can yield significant returns, with estimated gains of 21.06% to 40.99% by April 2026. MoPay stocks are affordable but come with higher volatility and risk, making them suitable for investors seeking high yields despite potential market fluctuations. Analyst predictions for MoPay stocks are 60% accurate for top gainers, but caution is advised as accuracy on the degree of change is low.

The USOI ETN's strong distribution yield has offset crude oil's negative fundamentals, delivering 3.4% total returns since September. However, with OPEC+ plans to increase production by 2.2 million barrels over two years, increasing oil supply may cap oil prices and act as a headwind. Furthermore, President Trump's tariff policies are expected to slow global growth and oil demand, worsening oil price fundamentals.

The essence of financial awareness is to realize that money can work for us through our investments. Understanding the value of money is the first step toward financial education, which leads to the selection of the most appropriate tools for developing that awareness. In my case, the instruments I have adopted are largely high-income vehicles, with monthly and, in some cases, quarterly distribution.

Our investments, usually conceived and implemented gradually over time, are the pieces of a personal mosaic that form the whole of our assets. One solution for entering the financial markets can be Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA), a form of investing a constant amount at regular intervals. However, initiating a plan to buy stocks according to the logic of DCA presupposes awareness of the fluctuations in financial markets and their psychological implications.

USOI: Bullish Oil Technicals, Strong Seasonality, Mixed Fundamentals (Rating Upgrade)

Risk is the probability of a negative event in the future. An abstract concept that is not measurable; otherwise it would not be risk. Ascertaining value is the first step in controlling risk, that is, in reducing the possibility of incurring losses that cannot be predicted in advance. My choice to invest in securities with positive NAV performance over time is a way to try to control risk.

Closed-end funds are special income vehicles, with many positive aspects and just as many weaknesses that take time to be properly understood and evaluated. I discovered their existence about ten years ago, and over time, I became convinced of their worth by developing a personal method of selection based mainly on NAV performance. This is an analytical, data-driven approach which I then extended to other types of securities in my portfolio, namely ETFs and BDCs.

USOI offers high monthly income through a covered call strategy on the USO ETF. Backwardation in oil futures helps USOI generate income. USOI is best suited for income-focused investors with a short-term horizon who are comfortable with the risks.

My portfolio includes CEFs, ETFs, a few BDCs and an ETN, for whose selection I have developed over the years a criterion based mainly on NAV performance. In this article, however, I decided to focus on the price of each security in my portfolio, comparing it with the lows and highs touched throughout its history. An overview of the path each one has taken from launch to current market quotation with a personal assessment of the possible room for maneuver from those values.

The USOI ETN uses a covered call strategy on USO ETF, offering high monthly distributions. However, investors are cautioned as the USOI/USO ETF has significant tracking errors relative to oil commodities. Currently, the futures curve is in backwardation, which generates a positive 'roll-yield' for USOI/USO. Looking forward, oil is at a crossroads as bullish and bearish fundamentals fight to exert dominance on oil prices.

High jet fuel demand expected this summer with potential supply-related upside from a busy hurricane season. USOI offers exposure to covered call investment strategy on Reference Oil Shares, but there are bearish risks from high global oil supply. Implied volatility in the oil market is at historic lows, leading to a downgrade of USOI ETNs.